TY - ADVS AU - Clemen,Robert T. TI - Decision analysis: an overview T2 - Making decisions : getting it right the first time, PY - 2011/// CY - London PB - Henry Stewart Talks KW - Decision making N1 - Animated audio-visual presentation with synchronized narration; Title from title frames; Contents: Why decision analysis? -- Sources of difficulty -- Intuitive versus deliberative thinking -- Decision analysis framework -- Elements of decisions -- Jack Rabbit Racing example -- Decision analysis tools -- Decision trees -- MANPADS example -- Subjective judgments -- Preferences and trade-offs -- Expert probability judgments -- Nuclear waste repository example -- Monte Carlo simulation -- Space shuttle heat tile example -- SS Central America example -- Value of decision analysis -- Decision analysis in organizations -- SmithKline Beecham example -- Summary and conclusion; Access restricted to subscribers UR - https://hstalks.com/bm/2086/ UR - https://hstalks.com/bm/p/602/ ER -