TY - ADVS AU - O'Hagan,Anthony TI - Probabilistic sensitivity analysis T2 - Bayesian methods in health economics : a short course, PY - 2009/// CY - London PB - Henry Stewart Talks KW - Bayes Theorem KW - Economics, Medical N1 - Animated audio-visual presentation with synchronized narration; Title from title frames; Contents: The primary way to account for uncertainty in health economic evaluation is probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) -- PSA is increasingly demanded as a part of economic evaluation to justify a claim of cost-effectiveness for new drugs and procedures -- Economic modeling and uncertainty in economic models -- Three steps for PSA: formulating uncertainty on model inputs, computing the implied uncertainty regarding model outputs, and expressing that uncertainty in ways that are useful to decision makers -- Case study: economic model to assess cost-effectiveness of a new vaccine; Access restricted to subscribers UR - https://hstalks.com/bs/1147/ UR - https://hstalks.com/bs/p/409/ ER -